This article uses flash animations to illustrate ideas. You'll need the free flash player to view these . If you're on a modem connection they may take a little time to load, please be patient.
The animation below explains how we can say some temperatures are likely, some possible, and some temperatures are impossible, by looking at what we've experienced in the past. You can skip backwards and forwards in the animation by using the slider:
In this way, the results of many climate forecasts can be combined to show what is most likely to happen, what is unlikely to happen and what almost definitely won't happen.
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Content last updated: 13/12/2005
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